Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 8:20 AM, 16 voters in 9 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 59,590 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 45,045 - 88,655). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 8:20 AM 1005 c(2.5% = 577) c(97.5% = 1396)
02 8:20 AM 1572 c(2.5% = 939) c(97.5% = 2156)
03 8:20 AM 859 c(2.5% = 570) c(97.5% = 1339)
04 8:20 AM 755 c(2.5% = 490) c(97.5% = 1300)
05 8:20 AM 1954 c(2.5% = 1233) c(97.5% = 2672)
06 8:20 AM 538 c(2.5% = 394) c(97.5% = 829)
07 8:20 AM 212 c(2.5% = 93) c(97.5% = 754)
08 8:20 AM 2204 c(2.5% = 1286) c(97.5% = 3080)
09 8:20 AM 1457 c(2.5% = 742) c(97.5% = 2072)
10 8:20 AM 1261 c(2.5% = 864) c(97.5% = 1941)
11 8:20 AM 495 c(2.5% = 305) c(97.5% = 878)
12 8:20 AM 859 c(2.5% = 611) c(97.5% = 1391)
13 8:20 AM 778 c(2.5% = 524) c(97.5% = 1307)
14 8:20 AM 337 c(2.5% = 255) c(97.5% = 509)
15 8:20 AM 1301 c(2.5% = 734) c(97.5% = 1794)
16 8:20 AM 381 c(2.5% = 220) c(97.5% = 709)
17 8:20 AM 1001 c(2.5% = 671) c(97.5% = 1626)
18 8:20 AM 696 c(2.5% = 515) c(97.5% = 938)
19 8:20 AM 243 c(2.5% = 113) c(97.5% = 618)
20 8:20 AM 256 c(2.5% = 186) c(97.5% = 485)
21 8:20 AM 2191 c(2.5% = 1501) c(97.5% = 2947)
22 8:20 AM 1735 c(2.5% = 1024) c(97.5% = 2360)
23 8:20 AM 584 c(2.5% = 377) c(97.5% = 1030)
24 8:20 AM 481 c(2.5% = 364) c(97.5% = 769)
25 8:20 AM 465 c(2.5% = 278) c(97.5% = 881)
26 8:20 AM 862 c(2.5% = 570) c(97.5% = 1188)
27 8:20 AM 539 c(2.5% = 377) c(97.5% = 916)
28 8:20 AM 413 c(2.5% = 238) c(97.5% = 767)
29 8:20 AM 474 c(2.5% = 349) c(97.5% = 710)
30 8:20 AM 981 c(2.5% = 636) c(97.5% = 1294)
31 8:20 AM 714 c(2.5% = 446) c(97.5% = 972)
32 8:20 AM 614 c(2.5% = 380) c(97.5% = 1091)
33 8:20 AM 277 c(2.5% = 134) c(97.5% = 838)
34 8:20 AM 1717 c(2.5% = 1253) c(97.5% = 2546)
35 8:20 AM 791 c(2.5% = 521) c(97.5% = 1450)
36 8:20 AM 1253 c(2.5% = 952) c(97.5% = 1870)
37 8:20 AM 393 c(2.5% = 230) c(97.5% = 726)
38 8:20 AM 864 c(2.5% = 621) c(97.5% = 1217)
39 8:20 AM 1928 c(2.5% = 1128) c(97.5% = 2606)
40 8:20 AM 1311 c(2.5% = 1001) c(97.5% = 2069)
41 8:20 AM 581 c(2.5% = 303) c(97.5% = 1151)
42 8:20 AM 505 c(2.5% = 318) c(97.5% = 1084)
43 8:20 AM 390 c(2.5% = 216) c(97.5% = 911)
44 8:20 AM 504 c(2.5% = 328) c(97.5% = 869)
45 8:20 AM 639 c(2.5% = 404) c(97.5% = 1116)
46 8:20 AM 1185 c(2.5% = 797) c(97.5% = 1587)
47 8:20 AM 242 c(2.5% = 181) c(97.5% = 387)
48 8:20 AM 592 c(2.5% = 452) c(97.5% = 941)
49 8:20 AM 825 c(2.5% = 584) c(97.5% = 1351)
50 8:20 AM 1749 c(2.5% = 1148) c(97.5% = 2280)
51 8:20 AM 822 c(2.5% = 585) c(97.5% = 1350)
52 8:20 AM 1374 c(2.5% = 904) c(97.5% = 1870)
53 8:20 AM 586 c(2.5% = 345) c(97.5% = 1100)
54 8:20 AM 355 c(2.5% = 180) c(97.5% = 812)
55 8:20 AM 829 c(2.5% = 424) c(97.5% = 1628)
56 8:20 AM 1301 c(2.5% = 743) c(97.5% = 2210)
57 8:20 AM 1036 c(2.5% = 667) c(97.5% = 1635)
58 8:20 AM 1678 c(2.5% = 1092) c(97.5% = 2759)
59 8:20 AM 957 c(2.5% = 688) c(97.5% = 1477)
60 8:20 AM 778 c(2.5% = 552) c(97.5% = 1217)
61 8:20 AM 865 c(2.5% = 670) c(97.5% = 1359)
62 8:20 AM 599 c(2.5% = 319) c(97.5% = 1223)
63 8:20 AM 1185 c(2.5% = 777) c(97.5% = 1669)
64 8:20 AM 589 c(2.5% = 327) c(97.5% = 1037)
65 8:20 AM 932 c(2.5% = 603) c(97.5% = 1380)
66 8:20 AM 1739 c(2.5% = 1158) c(97.5% = 2678)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions