Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 8:20 AM, 16 voters in 9 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 59,590 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 45,045 - 88,655). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 8:20 AM | 1005 |
c(2.5% = 577)
|
c(97.5% = 1396)
|
| 02 | 8:20 AM | 1572 |
c(2.5% = 939)
|
c(97.5% = 2156)
|
| 03 | 8:20 AM | 859 |
c(2.5% = 570)
|
c(97.5% = 1339)
|
| 04 | 8:20 AM | 755 |
c(2.5% = 490)
|
c(97.5% = 1300)
|
| 05 | 8:20 AM | 1954 |
c(2.5% = 1233)
|
c(97.5% = 2672)
|
| 06 | 8:20 AM | 538 |
c(2.5% = 394)
|
c(97.5% = 829)
|
| 07 | 8:20 AM | 212 |
c(2.5% = 93)
|
c(97.5% = 754)
|
| 08 | 8:20 AM | 2204 |
c(2.5% = 1286)
|
c(97.5% = 3080)
|
| 09 | 8:20 AM | 1457 |
c(2.5% = 742)
|
c(97.5% = 2072)
|
| 10 | 8:20 AM | 1261 |
c(2.5% = 864)
|
c(97.5% = 1941)
|
| 11 | 8:20 AM | 495 |
c(2.5% = 305)
|
c(97.5% = 878)
|
| 12 | 8:20 AM | 859 |
c(2.5% = 611)
|
c(97.5% = 1391)
|
| 13 | 8:20 AM | 778 |
c(2.5% = 524)
|
c(97.5% = 1307)
|
| 14 | 8:20 AM | 337 |
c(2.5% = 255)
|
c(97.5% = 509)
|
| 15 | 8:20 AM | 1301 |
c(2.5% = 734)
|
c(97.5% = 1794)
|
| 16 | 8:20 AM | 381 |
c(2.5% = 220)
|
c(97.5% = 709)
|
| 17 | 8:20 AM | 1001 |
c(2.5% = 671)
|
c(97.5% = 1626)
|
| 18 | 8:20 AM | 696 |
c(2.5% = 515)
|
c(97.5% = 938)
|
| 19 | 8:20 AM | 243 |
c(2.5% = 113)
|
c(97.5% = 618)
|
| 20 | 8:20 AM | 256 |
c(2.5% = 186)
|
c(97.5% = 485)
|
| 21 | 8:20 AM | 2191 |
c(2.5% = 1501)
|
c(97.5% = 2947)
|
| 22 | 8:20 AM | 1735 |
c(2.5% = 1024)
|
c(97.5% = 2360)
|
| 23 | 8:20 AM | 584 |
c(2.5% = 377)
|
c(97.5% = 1030)
|
| 24 | 8:20 AM | 481 |
c(2.5% = 364)
|
c(97.5% = 769)
|
| 25 | 8:20 AM | 465 |
c(2.5% = 278)
|
c(97.5% = 881)
|
| 26 | 8:20 AM | 862 |
c(2.5% = 570)
|
c(97.5% = 1188)
|
| 27 | 8:20 AM | 539 |
c(2.5% = 377)
|
c(97.5% = 916)
|
| 28 | 8:20 AM | 413 |
c(2.5% = 238)
|
c(97.5% = 767)
|
| 29 | 8:20 AM | 474 |
c(2.5% = 349)
|
c(97.5% = 710)
|
| 30 | 8:20 AM | 981 |
c(2.5% = 636)
|
c(97.5% = 1294)
|
| 31 | 8:20 AM | 714 |
c(2.5% = 446)
|
c(97.5% = 972)
|
| 32 | 8:20 AM | 614 |
c(2.5% = 380)
|
c(97.5% = 1091)
|
| 33 | 8:20 AM | 277 |
c(2.5% = 134)
|
c(97.5% = 838)
|
| 34 | 8:20 AM | 1717 |
c(2.5% = 1253)
|
c(97.5% = 2546)
|
| 35 | 8:20 AM | 791 |
c(2.5% = 521)
|
c(97.5% = 1450)
|
| 36 | 8:20 AM | 1253 |
c(2.5% = 952)
|
c(97.5% = 1870)
|
| 37 | 8:20 AM | 393 |
c(2.5% = 230)
|
c(97.5% = 726)
|
| 38 | 8:20 AM | 864 |
c(2.5% = 621)
|
c(97.5% = 1217)
|
| 39 | 8:20 AM | 1928 |
c(2.5% = 1128)
|
c(97.5% = 2606)
|
| 40 | 8:20 AM | 1311 |
c(2.5% = 1001)
|
c(97.5% = 2069)
|
| 41 | 8:20 AM | 581 |
c(2.5% = 303)
|
c(97.5% = 1151)
|
| 42 | 8:20 AM | 505 |
c(2.5% = 318)
|
c(97.5% = 1084)
|
| 43 | 8:20 AM | 390 |
c(2.5% = 216)
|
c(97.5% = 911)
|
| 44 | 8:20 AM | 504 |
c(2.5% = 328)
|
c(97.5% = 869)
|
| 45 | 8:20 AM | 639 |
c(2.5% = 404)
|
c(97.5% = 1116)
|
| 46 | 8:20 AM | 1185 |
c(2.5% = 797)
|
c(97.5% = 1587)
|
| 47 | 8:20 AM | 242 |
c(2.5% = 181)
|
c(97.5% = 387)
|
| 48 | 8:20 AM | 592 |
c(2.5% = 452)
|
c(97.5% = 941)
|
| 49 | 8:20 AM | 825 |
c(2.5% = 584)
|
c(97.5% = 1351)
|
| 50 | 8:20 AM | 1749 |
c(2.5% = 1148)
|
c(97.5% = 2280)
|
| 51 | 8:20 AM | 822 |
c(2.5% = 585)
|
c(97.5% = 1350)
|
| 52 | 8:20 AM | 1374 |
c(2.5% = 904)
|
c(97.5% = 1870)
|
| 53 | 8:20 AM | 586 |
c(2.5% = 345)
|
c(97.5% = 1100)
|
| 54 | 8:20 AM | 355 |
c(2.5% = 180)
|
c(97.5% = 812)
|
| 55 | 8:20 AM | 829 |
c(2.5% = 424)
|
c(97.5% = 1628)
|
| 56 | 8:20 AM | 1301 |
c(2.5% = 743)
|
c(97.5% = 2210)
|
| 57 | 8:20 AM | 1036 |
c(2.5% = 667)
|
c(97.5% = 1635)
|
| 58 | 8:20 AM | 1678 |
c(2.5% = 1092)
|
c(97.5% = 2759)
|
| 59 | 8:20 AM | 957 |
c(2.5% = 688)
|
c(97.5% = 1477)
|
| 60 | 8:20 AM | 778 |
c(2.5% = 552)
|
c(97.5% = 1217)
|
| 61 | 8:20 AM | 865 |
c(2.5% = 670)
|
c(97.5% = 1359)
|
| 62 | 8:20 AM | 599 |
c(2.5% = 319)
|
c(97.5% = 1223)
|
| 63 | 8:20 AM | 1185 |
c(2.5% = 777)
|
c(97.5% = 1669)
|
| 64 | 8:20 AM | 589 |
c(2.5% = 327)
|
c(97.5% = 1037)
|
| 65 | 8:20 AM | 932 |
c(2.5% = 603)
|
c(97.5% = 1380)
|
| 66 | 8:20 AM | 1739 |
c(2.5% = 1158)
|
c(97.5% = 2678)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions